Entity · moving across domains

Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz — the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman through which roughly a fifth of the world's oil passes.

As of 12 Oct 2026Last evidence 12 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Strait of Hormuz

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Trump envoy kept financial ties to firm behind $15 billion Hormuz-bypass oil pipeline plan

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Brent Holds Above $100 as Hormuz Tanker Traffic Hits Two-Month Low

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 1 separate publisher

  • Iran lost complete control of Hormuz, its economy is in 'total freefall': Rubio

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

All 11 events and claims involving Hormuz

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 131 mentions on 12 Oct 2026, against 130 on 21 Sept 2026 (+1%).
  • State Changes between snapshots: cannot measure, no state history is kept for Hormuz yet.
  • Claims No claim first reported since 11 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” moved from 32% to 14% Yes since 28 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

3,379 documents · 256 publishers · 39% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 12 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.392: about 61% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 1 receipt withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Hormuz

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

IranOilTrumpMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaUnited StatesIsraelYemenRed Sea
  • Iran · 2,729 shared documents
  • Oil · 2,299 shared documents
  • Trump · 1,479 shared documents
  • Middle East · 1,430 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 1,237 shared documents
  • United States · 1,199 shared documents
  • Israel · 1,055 shared documents
  • Yemen · 1,000 shared documents
  • Red Sea · 840 shared documents
  • Oil Prices · 806 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Rising

Daily mentions +185% from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, between 19 and 191 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Hormuz, day by day.

Market price, cited

14% Yes

Polymarket · priced 12 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 32% → 14% Yes (-18pts, from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026)

on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Hormuz

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/c0ec2e6075dbc1602e45194e returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name hormuz.

{
  "name": "hormuz",
  "label": "Hormuz",
  "asOf": "2026-10-12",
  "mentions": 131,
  "domains": 34,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/c0ec2e6075dbc1602e45194e",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/c0ec2e6075dbc1602e45194e",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-12T19:05:00.007637+00:00",
    "snapshot": "deploy 546a24245321c978034f24d6f94780775858a850"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?",
    "yesPct": 14,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-12",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "131 mentions across 34 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "34 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 125 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Hormuz

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Strait of Hormuz

    Registered event · reported 24 May 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Trump envoy kept financial ties to firm behind $15 billion Hormuz-bypass oil pipeline plan

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Brent Holds Above $100 as Hormuz Tanker Traffic Hits Two-Month Low

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 1 separate publisher

    single source

  • Iran lost complete control of Hormuz, its economy is in 'total freefall': Rubio

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Attacks on tankers in Hormuz hit highest of any week since start of Iran war, sources say

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Attack risks rise for tankers as Iran vows to block more Hormuz routes

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran says Strait of Hormuz could reopen within a week as Tehran weighs US response

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • 11 Indians among 12 crew injured after vessel hit by projectile in Strait of Hormuz; MEA condemns attack

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran Strikes Hormuz Tankers Daily as Gulf Oil Exports Reached Pre-War Levels

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Increased vessel attacks drive Hormuz oil exports 'sharply lower', report says

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Hormuz

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

ceasefire-peace-iran

Situation, reached from Hormuz.

Evidence
30 documents · 26 separate publishers · a match is coverage, not verification
Standing
Added automatically from coverage
Time
not on file: no dates on file
Measured
93% of matching documents describe a specific action; the rest only mention it
As of
12 Oct 2026
6 links from here

What it is about (1)

Who and what is involved (2)

  • Trumpnamed by 9 separate outlets in its reports
  • Hormuznamed by 3 separate outlets in its reports

Related situations (3)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Hormuz, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Hormuz

Markets whose question is about Hormuz or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Hormuz and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Pull a thread

Ask about HormuzWatch Hormuz

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 12 Oct 2026.