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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Interest Rates

The price of borrowing money; the benchmark rates set by central banks steer economies and asset prices.

Coverage of Interest Rates is rising : 32 signals on the latest tracked day, up 3% from its three-week baseline of 31, across 11 domains (up from 7 a week ago). That makes it the #86 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

If Interest Rates matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.

What’s changed

5 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 522 tracked stories from 94 outlets, reporting on Interest Rates most often describes rate decisions (122), economic releases (30), public statements (13), acquisition (11), meetings or visits (7), price levels (5).

It shows up alongside Inflation (233), Federal Reserve (131), Treasury (115), AI (85), Kevin Warsh (81), Central Bank (72), Jackson Hole (70), CPI (61).

Two steps out: Iran (through Inflation, 169 shared stories on the weaker link); Oil (through Inflation, 154 shared stories on the weaker link); Bessent (through Treasury, 115 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through Treasury, 115 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 14, with coverage on 37 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?” fell 16 points between Jul 18 and Sep 1, from 58% to 42%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 18 – Sep 1, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 1, 9:30 AM PT