Entity · moving across domains

Iran

A major Middle Eastern state whose oil, nuclear program, and regional proxies keep it central to Gulf security.

As of 12 Oct 2026Last evidence 12 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21

    Reported claim · first reported 10 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • Saudi Arabia faces new level of peril in Houthi attacks, amid wider Iran war

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

  • US to Seize About $1 Billion in Crypto Linked to Iran: Treasury Secretary Bessent

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • U.S. Senator Questions Cantor Fitzgerald Over Tether’s Iran-Linked USDT Activity

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

All 13 events and claims involving Iran

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 386 mentions on 12 Oct 2026, against 340 on 21 Sept 2026 (+14%).
  • State Changes between snapshots: cannot measure, no state history is kept for Iran yet.
  • Claims No claim first reported since 11 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved from 14% to 18% Yes since 28 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

8,628 documents · 507 publishers · 41% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 12 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.405: about 60% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 4 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Iran

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

OilTrumpHormuzMiddle EastIsraelUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaChinaYemen
  • Oil · 3,521 shared documents
  • Trump · 3,483 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 2,729 shared documents
  • Middle East · 2,537 shared documents
  • Israel · 2,525 shared documents
  • United States · 2,480 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 2,088 shared documents
  • China · 1,881 shared documents
  • Yemen · 1,716 shared documents
  • UN · 1,449 shared documents · no page of its own yet

Story momentum

Rising

Daily mentions +134% from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, between 107 and 497 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Iran, day by day.

Market price, cited

18% Yes

Polymarket · priced 12 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 14% → 18% Yes (+4pts, from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026)

on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Iran

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name iran.

{
  "name": "iran",
  "label": "Iran",
  "asOf": "2026-10-12",
  "mentions": 386,
  "domains": 57,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/a65ec588c8541d87b17d1cf7",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-12T17:35:57.998390+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
    "yesPct": 18,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-12",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "386 mentions across 57 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "57 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 380 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Iran

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21

    Reported claim · first reported 10 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Saudi Arabia faces new level of peril in Houthi attacks, amid wider Iran war

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • US to Seize About $1 Billion in Crypto Linked to Iran: Treasury Secretary Bessent

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • U.S. Senator Questions Cantor Fitzgerald Over Tether’s Iran-Linked USDT Activity

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Israel Iran Conflict

    Registered event · reported 29 Mar 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · claims are not yet placed under registered events

    Open event

  • Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Trump Says U.S. Would Not Attack Iran Before Midterm Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump Says U.S. Will Not Strike Iran Again Before Midterms as Military Draws Up New Plans

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 8 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Exclusive-In interview, US Vice President Vance says Iran must cut enrichment to end war

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Iran war: Shell sees Middle East oil flows at 80% as Saudi Aramco warns inventories may take 2 years to rebuild

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • California officials blast Trump's comment to let Iran 'take out' Los Angeles and San Diego

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 9 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Putin offers help to Iran to end Middle East war ahead of CIS summit | Hindustan Times

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 12 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Pentagon barred Qatar base access to hide Iran war damage, US senator claims

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • RAF Fairford terror plot: British man arrested in London over suspected threat to US base used in Iran strikes

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Iran

Entity.

Evidence
8,628 documents · 507 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 13 Mar 2026, last seen 12 Oct 2026
Measured
41% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
12 Oct 2026
26 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (4)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Iran, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Iran

Markets whose question is about Iran or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Iran and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

1 more open market joined to Iran but not about it
  • 44.2% Yes

    “US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?”

    Polymarket · priced 12 Oct 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · closes 31 Dec 2026

What it connects to

Related records.

Ask about IranWatch Iran

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 12 Oct 2026.