Entity

Middle East

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 68 coverage verticals, including Africa, African Economy and Agriculture Food.

As of 24 Oct 2026Last evidence 24 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • IMF says Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan GDP to contract 1.3pc in 2026

    Reported claim · first reported 22 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

  • IMF Says 2027 Recovery in Middle East Hinges on Easing Conflict, Resumption of Trade

    Reported claim · first reported 22 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Middle East latest: One dead in attack on Dammam airport in Saudi Arabia

    Reported claim · first reported 22 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Brent crude oil tops $116, a six-month high, as tensions swell in the Middle East

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • The Commodities Feed: Sustained Middle East flows fail to dent oil prices

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Middle East

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 334 mentions on 24 Oct 2026, against 242 on 3 Oct 2026 (+38%).
  • State Last recorded change: wire tier went from watch to flagged on 24 Oct 2026 (2 changes recorded since 13 Oct 2026).
  • Claims No claim first reported since 23 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?” moved from 66% to 64% Yes since 9 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

7,274 documents · 461 publishers · 4% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 24 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.044: about 96% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 5 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Middle East

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

IranOilIsraelTrumpSaudi ArabiaHormuzUnited StatesAfricaChinaYemen
  • Iran · 3,346 shared documents
  • Oil · 2,923 shared documents
  • Israel · 2,026 shared documents
  • Trump · 1,958 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 1,877 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 1,876 shared documents
  • United States · 1,699 shared documents
  • Africa · 1,519 shared documents
  • China · 1,514 shared documents
  • Yemen · 1,354 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 334 mentions on 24 Oct 2026 with 242 on 3 Oct 2026 (+38%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +33% from 9 Sept 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, between 94 and 334 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Middle East, day by day.

Market price, cited

64% Yes

priced 24 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 66% → 64% Yes (-2pts, from 15 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026)

on “Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Middle East

“Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Geopolitics Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/b94dd10528bd60151e2c4b33 returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name middle east.

{
  "name": "middle east",
  "label": "Middle East",
  "asOf": "2026-10-24",
  "mentions": 334,
  "domains": 68,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/b94dd10528bd60151e2c4b33",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/b94dd10528bd60151e2c4b33",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-24T18:56:15.248353+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will Warsh say \"Conflict\" or \"Middle East\" during October Press Conference?",
    "yesPct": 64,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-24",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-13T13:19:04.891662+00:00",
    "changes": 2
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "334 mentions across 68 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "68 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 328 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Middle East

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • IMF says Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan GDP to contract 1.3pc in 2026

    Reported claim · first reported 22 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    could not check

  • IMF Says 2027 Recovery in Middle East Hinges on Easing Conflict, Resumption of Trade

    Reported claim · first reported 22 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Middle East latest: One dead in attack on Dammam airport in Saudi Arabia

    Reported claim · first reported 22 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    single source

  • Brent crude oil tops $116, a six-month high, as tensions swell in the Middle East

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • The Commodities Feed: Sustained Middle East flows fail to dent oil prices

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Oil prices fall as traders hope for diplomatic progress in Middle East

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • The Middle East's Next Energy Boom Has Nothing to Do With Oil

    Reported claim · first reported 20 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    single source

  • Solvay cuts 2026 forecast after Middle East conflict hits third quarter - Euronext Markets: Real-time Stock Market Data | live

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Global container freight prices surge 130% since February amid Middle East tensions: Jefferies

    Reported claim · first reported 19 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    could not check

  • ZAWYA: Saudi economy remains resilient despite Middle East conflict, SAMA governor says

    Reported claim · first reported 18 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 6 separate publishers

    single source

  • Iran, Russia have never worked so closely, says Araghchi amid Middle East war

    Reported claim · first reported 18 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    could not check

  • Live Updates: U.S. reducing troop footprint in Middle East, sources say, as indirect talks on ceasefire proposal with Iran continue

    Reported claim · first reported 18 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    single source

Walk the record from Middle East

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Middle East

Entity.

Evidence
7,274 documents · 461 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 26 Mar 2026, last seen 24 Oct 2026
Measured
4% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
24 Oct 2026
22 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.
  • Single source: Reported by one source so far.
  • Could not check: We could not count this claim's sources, so we do not say how well it is supported.

Situations it is named in (0)

none on file at this cutoff

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Middle East, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

What it connects to

Related records.

Pull a thread

Recorded history

  • 24 Oct 2026

    wire tier changed: watch to flagged

    Previous state held since 25 Sept 2026

  • 24 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: insufficient_history to rising

    Previous state held since 25 Sept 2026

2 changes recorded since 13 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about Middle EastWatch Middle East

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 24 Oct 2026.