Entity

Oil

Crude oil; the world's most-traded commodity, setting the base cost of fuel, transport, and industry.

As of 12 Oct 2026Last evidence 13 Oct 2026

What is happening now

  • Super oil tanker catches fire after hitting sea mine in Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 11 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Trump envoy kept financial ties to firm behind $15 billion Hormuz-bypass oil pipeline plan

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Oil prices hit $105 and stocks tumble as Trump considers renewed strikes on Iran

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Trump Says U.S. Would Not Attack Iran Before Midterm Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Bitcoin Falls Below $81,000 as Oil Spike and Fed Minutes Wipe Out $1.1 Billion in Bets

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Oil

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 411 mentions on 12 Oct 2026, against 308 on 21 Sept 2026 (+33%).
  • State Changes between snapshots: cannot measure, no state history is kept for Oil yet.
  • Claims 1 claim first reported since 11 Oct 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?” moved from 12% to 10% Yes since 28 Aug 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

8,441 documents · 514 publishers · 34% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 13 Oct 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.34: about 66% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 8 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Oil

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

IranTrumpHormuzMiddle EastUnited StatesInflationChinaAI
  • Iran · 3,638 shared documents
  • Trump · 2,472 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 2,368 shared documents
  • Middle East · 2,214 shared documents
  • Oil Prices · 2,213 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • United States · 1,844 shared documents
  • Inflation · 1,710 shared documents
  • China · 1,622 shared documents
  • Europe · 1,338 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • AI · 1,317 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

Daily mentions +542% from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, between 58 and 411 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Oil, day by day.

Market price, cited

10% Yes

priced 12 Oct 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 12% → 10% Yes (-2pts, from 28 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026)

on “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Oil

“Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Energy Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name oil.

{
  "name": "oil",
  "label": "Oil",
  "asOf": "2026-10-12",
  "mentions": 411,
  "domains": 67,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-10-12T23:35:20.359582+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?",
    "yesPct": 10,
    "pricedOn": "2026-10-12",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "411 mentions across 67 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "67 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 405 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Oil

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Super oil tanker catches fire after hitting sea mine in Strait of Hormuz

    Reported claim · first reported 11 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Trump envoy kept financial ties to firm behind $15 billion Hormuz-bypass oil pipeline plan

    Reported claim · first reported 9 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Oil prices hit $105 and stocks tumble as Trump considers renewed strikes on Iran

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Trump Says U.S. Would Not Attack Iran Before Midterm Elections

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Bitcoin Falls Below $81,000 as Oil Spike and Fed Minutes Wipe Out $1.1 Billion in Bets

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • U.S. Sanctions 22 Vessels And 27 Companies Tied To Iran’s Shadow Fleet And Oil Sales

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Oil prices surge on worries of shipping attacks and Gulf of Mexico hurricane

    Reported claim · first reported 8 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Hurricane Isaias Shuts Down Nearly Two-Thirds of Gulf Oil Production

    Reported claim · first reported 7 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Iran war: Shell sees Middle East oil flows at 80% as Saudi Aramco warns inventories may take 2 years to rebuild

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • US Stock Market: S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Retreat After Record Highs as Oil, Yields Climb

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Big Oil Faces Climate Reckoning in Supreme Court

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Increased vessel attacks drive Hormuz oil exports 'sharply lower', report says

    Reported claim · first reported 6 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

Walk the record from Oil

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Oil

Entity.

Evidence
8,441 documents · 514 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 26 Sept 2024, last seen 13 Oct 2026
Measured
34% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
12 Oct 2026
25 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (3)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Oil, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Oil

Markets whose question is about Oil or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Oil and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

What it connects to

Related records.

Ask about OilWatch Oil

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 12 Oct 2026.