Entity

Oil

Crude oil; the world's most-traded commodity, setting the base cost of fuel, transport, and industry.

As of 3 Nov 2026Last evidence 3 Nov 2026

What is happening now

  • Oil Plunges 7% on U.S.-Iran Talks Hopes; Stocks Mixed as AI Shares Slide

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • The Commodities Feed: US midterm elections key for oil market

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Sensex jumps 765 points during early trade on sharp rally in Reliance shares, decline in oil prices

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

  • Oil Prices Plunge as Draft Proposal to End U.S.-Iran War is Circulated

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

  • Oil prices fall over 4% as US-Iran peace talks raise hopes of easing Middle East supply disruptions

    Reported claim · first reported 1 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

All 12 events and claims involving Oil

What changed

  • Attention Rising: 455 mentions on 2 Nov 2026, against 411 on 12 Oct 2026 (+11%).
  • State Last recorded change: coverage state went from rising to steady on 1 Nov 2026 (3 changes recorded since 21 Oct 2026).
  • Claims 4 claims first reported since 2 Nov 2026.
  • Market The cited market on “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?” moved from 12% to 14% Yes since 18 Sept 2026 (the market’s own price).

How well we know this

13,919 documents · 632 publishers · 8% contain a typed assertion · last evidence 3 Nov 2026

  • Gap: assertion coverage 0.08: about 92% of mentions carry no typed assertion
  • Gap: 5 receipts withheld: no source link (the same rule the topic record applies)

In this snapshot’s daily coverage:

Reported alongside Oil

Names most often reported alongside it; bigger circles and heavier lines mean more shared documents. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

IranTrumpHormuzMiddle EastUnited StatesSaudi ArabiaRussiaInflationChina
  • Iran · 5,807 shared documents
  • Trump · 4,033 shared documents
  • Hormuz · 3,608 shared documents
  • Middle East · 3,548 shared documents
  • Oil Prices · 3,435 shared documents · no page of its own yet
  • United States · 3,025 shared documents
  • Saudi Arabia · 2,849 shared documents
  • Russia · 2,842 shared documents
  • Inflation · 2,733 shared documents
  • China · 2,612 shared documents

Story momentum

Rising

The word compares 455 mentions on 2 Nov 2026 with 411 on 12 Oct 2026 (+11%); a change of less than 8% either way reads Steady.

Daily mentions +41% from 18 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026, between 162 and 546 a day

How often tracked coverage mentions Oil, day by day.

Market price, cited

14% Yes

priced 3 Nov 2026 · relation: named in the question

the market: 12% → 14% Yes (+2pts, from 18 Sept 2026 to 3 Nov 2026)

on “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?”

The day’s closing price on this market, and how it moved. The number is the market’s own. Ask about Oil

“Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?”: the market's own price; the venue link is not stored with it

Coverage volume and market price are separate measures.

On the desk: Energy Desk

For developers

This page is also an object: GET https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a returns the same record as sb.node.v1. Or call the get_entity MCP tool at https://sigb.ai/api/mcp with name oil.

{
  "name": "oil",
  "label": "Oil",
  "asOf": "2026-11-03",
  "mentions": 455,
  "domains": 71,
  "node": {
    "id": "sb:e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a",
    "schema": "sb.node.v1",
    "rest": "https://sigb.ai/api/v1/node/e/ff9eb017014e9c0908bdf56a",
    "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-11-03T13:08:56.552092+00:00",
    "snapshot": "this deploy's committed data files (commit not exposed in this runtime)"
  },
  "coverageTrend": "rising",
  "marketPrice": {
    "question": "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?",
    "yesPct": 14,
    "pricedOn": "2026-11-03",
    "attribution": "the market's own price",
    "relation": "actor-in"
  },
  "history": {
    "since": "2026-10-21T13:12:56.354446+00:00",
    "changes": 3
  },
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "counts",
    "label": "455 mentions across 71 domains",
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "reports",
        "label": "6 reports drawn on this page, each with its link",
        "children": {
          "count": 6,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "domains",
        "label": "71 coverage domains",
        "children": {
          "count": 18,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "not shown",
        "label": "The other 449 mentions",
        "edge": "counted daily from tracked coverage; single mentions are not listed one by one"
      }
    ]
  }
}

The figures on this page, as data. The tool returns the full entity record.

Events involving Oil

Most-reported first, then newest. Registered events come from the event record; reported events are groups of claims about one occurrence. Claims are grouped when they were first reported within 2 days of each other and either name at least 2 of the same people, places or things besides this one, or share at least 25% of their wording. Each claim keeps its own record.

  • Oil Plunges 7% on U.S.-Iran Talks Hopes; Stocks Mixed as AI Shares Slide

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • The Commodities Feed: US midterm elections key for oil market

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Sensex jumps 765 points during early trade on sharp rally in Reliance shares, decline in oil prices

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Oil Prices Plunge as Draft Proposal to End U.S.-Iran War is Circulated

    Reported claim · first reported 2 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Oil prices fall over 4% as US-Iran peace talks raise hopes of easing Middle East supply disruptions

    Reported claim · first reported 1 Nov 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Iran War Hikes EU’s Oil Import Bill By $11 Billion Per Month

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 2 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Houthis Claim Fresh Strikes on Saudi Oil Refineries and Aramco Facilities

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 5 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • 11 EU countries vow to release 42.6 million barrels of oil after G7 pledge

    Reported claim · first reported 29 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • World Bank Forecasts 23% Rise in Commodity Prices in 2026 as Middle East War Cuts Oil Supply by 5.2%

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 10 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Oil tops $114 as traders brace for Iran escalation after US midterms

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    reported by two

  • Sensex, Nifty open flat in green as investors track crude oil prices, US Fed policy decision

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 3 separate publishers

    corroborated

  • Trump terminates Biden-era methane rules putting Africa’s $101.75 billion oil and gas market in focus

    Reported claim · first reported 28 Oct 2026 · 1 claim · best-carried claim: 4 separate publishers

    corroborated

Walk the record from Oil

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Oil

Entity.

Evidence
13,919 documents · 632 separate publishers · a mention shows the name is in use, not that any claim about it is true
Standing
A name from our starting list; its record is kept up to date automatically from coverage
Time
first seen 4 Apr 2026, last seen 3 Nov 2026
Measured
8% of mentions say something specific about it; the rest only name it
As of
3 Nov 2026
24 links from here

Who it moves with: the 10 names are in the map above.

What is claimed about it (12)

  • Corroborated: Reported by three or more sources that did not copy each other.
  • Reported by two: Reported by two sources that did not copy each other.

Situations it is named in (2)

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

What the coverage says

Recent reporting that names Oil, newest first. Open any row to follow it to the original article.

Evidence tiers: primary source = an official public record · attributed = a named outlet, receipt linked · lead = observed, not yet receipted.

Other markets materially about Oil

Markets whose question is about Oil or names it as a party. Each row says how the market relates to Oil and why. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue.

1 more open market joined to Oil but not about it
  • 91% Yes

    “Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?”

    Polymarket · priced 3 Nov 2026

    Relation: mentioned only in passing · the name does not appear as a word in the question; the record joined it another way · close date not stated in the question

What it connects to

Related records.

Recorded history

  • 1 Nov 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 29 Oct 2026

  • 29 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: steady to rising

    Previous state held since 28 Oct 2026

  • 28 Oct 2026

    coverage state changed: rising to steady

    Previous state held since 12 Oct 2026

3 changes recorded since 21 Oct 2026, newest first.

Ask about OilWatch Oil

Story momentum counts mentions in tracked coverage. Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Informational only, not advice. As of 3 Nov 2026.