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Start from a sample Watch (each one reads the Strait of Hormuz record)

This Watch reads: Strait of Hormuz transit: availability, safety and cost of passage. To have us watch something else, propose a topic below.

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Who uses a Watch

  • A maritime operator asks: Is passage through the Strait of Hormuz becoming more or less available, safe or costly, and why?
  • An energy desk asks: Is Gulf oil and gas supply at risk this month, and why?
  • An escalation analyst asks: Is the conflict between the United States and Iran escalating or easing?

A sample record: the Strait of Hormuz

This is one record we keep, shown as a sample of what a Watch reads. It is not a reading of your domain.

Agreement between publishers is not proof of the facts; a repeated error passes any count. Open “where from” on any claim to follow it to the original articles.

Strait of Hormuz

From the reporting ledger · newest report 16 Sept 2026

The ledger holds 887 claims about the strait: 0 corroborated, 1 reported by two, 886 single source. 15 of them were carried by several reports that all ran in one outlet or in the same words; repeated is not corroborated, so each counts by its separate sources. No claim on this record sits beside a live report that gives a different answer about the same incident. That counts live claims only, after any replacement, and only pairs our test could match incident for incident. 2 claims were replaced by a later report since 3 Sep; they are kept, marked, and not counted here. Another 8 look-alike pairs could not be matched incident for incident, so the test cannot say whether they differ. The newest of the best-supported are below.

No new claim carried by three or more separate reports since 7 Sep.

  • First reported 7 Sep

    The conflict has significantly impacted the oil-rich Gulf Arab states, including the UAE, as Tehran fired missiles at the country and attacked its oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.

    Reported by two · 2 separate reports · 2 outlets

From the live Hormuz record: on Polymarket, “Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?” was priced at 22.5% when last seen (2026-10-11). That is Polymarket’s price, quoted as published. SigB publishes no probability of its own.

Set aside · 9 claims, each with why
  • Iraq is importing gasoline via Syrian port to bypass the closed Strait of Hormuz. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.
  • An Iranian commercial ship was struck near Strait of Hormuz with 1 dead. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.
  • One person was killed in a ship strike on the Strait of Hormuz. Every report came from outlets that do not cover this subject.

Replaced, never erased

When a later report replaces a claim, the record keeps the first one, marked, with the date and the reason.

From the Hormuz reporting ledger

Said on 22 Sept 2026: A senior Iranian official said Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz to Gulf shipping within seven days if the US fulfilled Tehran's demands to ease military pressure and lift an American blockade on Iranian ports, adding that Tehran had conveyed its latest proposal to Washington via mediators last week.

Replaced 11 Oct 2026 by: Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz to Gulf shipping within seven days if the US fulfilled Tehran's demands to ease military pressure and lift an American blockade on Iranian ports, the Iranian official said, adding that Iran had conveyed its latest proposal to Washington via mediators last week.

Why: A later report in the same thread replaced it. The first claim stays on the record, marked replaced. The ledger keeps 2 replaced claims this way.

See every claim in the Hormuz record

Watch

The sample record (Strait of Hormuz), as data

GET claims_hormuz.json → counts, and the state of each viewpoint's sorted reading (build time)

{
  "ledger": {
    "computedAt": "2026-10-11T13:01:09+00:00",
    "newestSeen": "2026-09-16",
    "counts": {
      "kernel": 887,
      "frames": 253,
      "retired": 11,
      "corroborated": 0,
      "two": 1,
      "single": 886,
      "disputed": 0,
      "repeated": 15
    }
  },
  "viewpoints": [
    {
      "viewpoint": "Maritime operator",
      "asks": "Is passage through the Strait of Hormuz becoming more or less available, safe or costly, and why?",
      "sortedReading": {
        "state": "cannot-measure",
        "reason": "Sorting for this viewpoint is not published yet. It is built every day and checked against what happens next before we publish it. Until then nothing on this page is placed for one viewpoint over another; the claims below are the same for every reader."
      }
    },
    {
      "viewpoint": "Energy desk",
      "asks": "Is Gulf oil and gas supply at risk this month, and why?",
      "sortedReading": {
        "state": "cannot-measure",
        "reason": "Sorting for this viewpoint is not published yet. It is built every day and checked against what happens next before we publish it. Until then nothing on this page is placed for one viewpoint over another; the claims below are the same for every reader."
      }
    },
    {
      "viewpoint": "Escalation analyst",
      "asks": "Is the conflict between the United States and Iran escalating or easing?",
      "sortedReading": {
        "state": "cannot-measure",
        "reason": "Sorting for this viewpoint is not published yet. It is built every day and checked against what happens next before we publish it. Until then nothing on this page is placed for one viewpoint over another; the claims below are the same for every reader."
      }
    }
  ]
}

The ledger's own counts. No viewpoint has a published sorted reading yet, and each says so instead of showing a placement.

GET claims_hormuz.json → kernel[newest corroborated] where-from, folded one level

{
  "claim": "The conflict has significantly impacted the oil-rich Gulf Arab states, including the UAE, as Tehran fired missiles at the country and attacked its oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "status": "reported-by-2",
  "independentChains": 2,
  "repetition": null,
  "whereFrom": {
    "level": "where from",
    "label": "Where from",
    "relations": [
      {
        "role": "part of",
        "members": [
          "/event/hormuz/",
          "/record/"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "children": [
      {
        "level": "report",
        "label": "Al-Monitor · first seen 7 Sep",
        "children": {
          "count": 1,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      },
      {
        "level": "report",
        "label": "Daily Sabah economy · first seen 7 Sep",
        "children": {
          "count": 1,
          "unfold": "expand=+1"
        }
      }
    ]
  }
}

The newest corroborated claim in the Hormuz reporting ledger, with its where-from tree folded below the first level. Each level names how to unfold the next, and every branch ends at a source link or a stated reason.