Ceasefire & peace talks · market-priced

Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

SigB keeps one record for this event, covering news reports and prediction-market questions. Tracked since 2026-05-27; last priced 2026-11-08.

Developers can read this record at /api/record/ceasefire-peace-iran or with the get_topic_record MCP tool.

This record began from prediction-market questions, which SigB cites as one source.

Matched news mentions
45
News items matched to this event. The most recent are listed below.
Market questions
14
Questions markets are pricing. Questions that differ only by price level or deadline are grouped into the 5 listed below.

Who is involved in Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

Names this situation's own reports carry in at least two separate outlets; bigger circles mean more outlets name it. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

Hormuz · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports
Oil · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports
Oil Prices Fall · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports · no page of its own yet

Walk the record from Ceasefire & peace talks: iran

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Ceasefire & peace talks: Iran

Situation.

Evidence: 45 documents · 37 separate publishers · a match is coverage, not verification
Standing: Added automatically from coverage
Time: first seen 27 May 2026, last seen 8 Nov 2026
Measured: 93% of matching documents describe a specific action; the rest only mention it
As of: 11 Nov 2026

7 links from here

Who and what is involved: the 3 names are in the map above.

What it is about (1)

Iran

Related situations (3)

Strait of Hormuzshares Iran, Hormuz, Oil
Israel Iran Conflictshares Iran, Hormuz, Oil
Gaza ceasefireshares Iran

For machines: this record as JSON

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Who this involves

What it is about: Iran.

Names this event’s own reports carry in at least two separate outlets.

Hormuz · 2 outlets
Oil · 2 outlets
Oil Prices Fall · 2 outlets

In the coverage

Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline. As of 2026-11-11, newest first.

Oil rebounds as Hormuz shipping attacks blunt hopes for Iran truceReuters · 2026-11-11
Iran Oil Exports Near Zero But Peace Deal Not Likely, FGE SaysBloomberg.com · 2026-11-06
More bombing, a nuclear strike or a peace deal: Three scenarios for the war in Iran after the midtermsThe Independent · 2026-11-03
Oil prices fall around 3% amid Iran war peace talks reportsDaily Sabah economy · 2026-11-02
Oil Prices Slide 3% as Hopes for Iran Peace Deal GrowOil Price · 2026-11-02
Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Dives As Khamenei Gives Iranian Officials Powers To Hold Peace TalksFXEmpire · 2026-11-02
Iran lawmakers call for withdrawal from NPT: Will we have war or peace?Al Jazeera · 2026-10-31
Vance Proposes Restarting Peace Talks in Outreach to Iranian OfficialNYT · 2026-10-29
Oil Prices Fall as Vance Moves to Restart Iran Peace TalksOil Price · 2026-10-29
NPT withdrawal returns to Iran debate as diplomacy gains paceIran International · 2026-10-29
JD Vance contacts senior Iranian official in bid to revive peace talksLatest News From Euronews · 2026-10-29
Iran says Strait of Hormuz reopening, seven-day ceasefire conditions still on the tableCBS News · 2026-10-18

What markets are asking

Questions from public prediction markets, each with its last price and the date it was seen.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?View this question on Polymarket · last price 99.95% Yes, seen 2026-06-17
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?View this question on Polymarket · last price 0.05% Yes, seen 2026-11-07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?View this question on Polymarket · last price 0.95% Yes, seen 2026-11-03
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?View this question on Polymarket · last price 0.85% Yes, seen 2026-11-05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?View this question on Polymarket · last price 26.5% Yes, seen 2026-11-11

Related events

Each one shares a name both events’ own reports carry; the shared names are listed with it.

Strait of Hormuzshares Iran, Hormuz, Oil
Israel Iran Conflictshares Iran, Hormuz, Oil
Gaza ceasefireshares Iran

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Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Mention counts come from SigB’s tracked coverage. Informational only, not advice. As of 2026-11-11.