The morning read.

Trump Strikes Diesel Deal With Putin to Lower Fuel Prices Ahead of Midterms (gCaptain). Why is US turning to Russia for diesel despite sanctions? (Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera). Russian strikes kill 8 in Ukraine as Trump's diesel deal backfires (Daily Sabah economy).

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? is at 34%, with a 24h delta of -13.5%. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? is at 79.0%, with a 24h delta of -10.5%. Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? is at 58%, with a 24h delta of +51.0%.

US imports Russian diesel by October 31? is at 46% on Polymarket. Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? is at 58% on Polymarket. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? is at 79.0% on Polymarket.

Sources: Trump Strikes Diesel Deal With Putin to Lower Fuel Prices Ahead of Midterms (gCaptain), Why is US turning to Russia for diesel despite sanctions? (Al Jazeera)